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Blog Fed Seems Confident in Soft Landing, But We See Risks Fed Seems Confident in Soft Landing, But We See Risks The Federal Reserve forecasts only a modest uptick in U.S. unemployment next year as inflation cools, but history and current labor market trends make us less certain.
Blog Fed Cycle Enters Data-Dependence Phase Fed Cycle Enters Data-Dependence Phase Amid an outlook for slower growth and more moderate inflation, the Fed shifts to data dependence.
Blog U.S. Inflation Outlook: A Meaningful Shift in the Second Half of 2023 U.S. Inflation Outlook: A Meaningful Shift in the Second Half of 2023 After stubborn U.S. inflation in the first half of 2023 kept the Federal Reserve raising rates, June’s softer inflation report suggests July may mark the end of the hiking cycle.
Blog Rising Macro Risks May Limit Fed From Reaching Its Projected Peak Rising Macro Risks May Limit Fed From Reaching Its Projected Peak The Federal Reserve paused in June but raised its estimates for the policy rate later this year. We expect a July increase but remain skeptical about subsequent hikes.
Blog Evolving Risks Prompt One More (Likely Final) Fed Hike Evolving Risks Prompt One More (Likely Final) Fed Hike Tighter credit conditions pose increasing risks to economic activity, leading the U.S. Federal Reserve to signal a likely pause.
Tiffany Wilding Economist Share Share Share via LinkedIn Share via Facebook Share via Twitter Share via Email Add Add Download Download Print Print Ms. Wilding is a managing director and economist based in the Newport Beach office. She leads PIMCO’s Cyclical Forum, crafts the firm’s outlook for the global economy, and analyzes key macro risks for the firm’s Investment Committee. She also co-chairs the firm’s Americas portfolio committee. Prior to joining PIMCO in 2016, she was the head of global interest rate research at Tudor Investment, responsible for recommending trade ideas based on global macro trends. Previously, she was a U.S. interest rate strategist with Morgan Stanley and a Treasury market policy analyst for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where she helped structure and implement the central bank’s response to the 2008 financial crisis. She has 16 years of investment and economics/financial markets experience and holds an MBA in quantitative finance from New York University's Stern School of Business. She received an undergraduate degree from Rhodes College.
